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Journal - Animal studies: a good guide for clinical trials?

From News @ nature.com (Science Journal)

Animal studies: a good guide for clinical trials?
Study reveals animal experiments often fail to predict outcomes in humans.
Jim Giles

Just how useful are animal experiments in predicting the outcome of human trials of new medicines?

Animal-rights activists have long claimed that differences between humans and animals make experiments in species such as rats of little use. Most scientists disagree, saying that drug development would be impossible without initial tests in animals (see our Animal research special). http://www.nature.com/news/specials/animalresearch/index.html

Now a team of medical researchers has published in the BMJ1 results from what they say is the first attempt to produce a scientific, quantitative answer to this question. The results provide food for thought for any scientist who works with animals.

The authors say they have highlighted serious problems with the way in which animal research is translated into human trials. Only half of the small sample of tests analysed by the team so far produced the same results in animals as they did in people.

The team stresses that this is not an argument against doing animal studies. Even so, the paper is likely to be seized on by activists.

Data match

The researchers started by taking six sets of clinical trials that had produced definitive answers as to whether specific treatments for conditions such as stroke and head injury are useful or not. They then assessed whether the prior animal research had given similar results to the human trials. The results, published today, say that the sets of data matched in only three of the six cases.

When the team investigated the reasons for this, they exposed a series of problems with the animal data. Many studies did not allocate animals randomly to control and treatment groups, a problem that is known to introduce bias into clinical trials. Comparison of experiments on a stroke treatment also suggested that studies showing negative effects are more likely to go unpublished, skewing impressions of efficacy.

Work on a model of head injury was undermined by the use of a model that did not match the later clinical trials. Rodents were injured and then treated five minutes later, says Ian Roberts, an author on the study and an epidemiologist at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. In the clinical trials, which are based on hospital admissions, patients are typically treated within three hours of being injured.

Design challenge

Although the results could be seen as evidence that animal work does little to inform clinical studies, the authors stress that their results show only that more time needs to spent thinking about how to translate research between the two spheres. Better-designed models and an awareness of publication bias are two priorities, they say.

Other researchers question whether the results are really as alarming as they sound. Robert Lechler, an immunologist at Kings College London, says that designers of clinical trials are already well aware of limitations in animal models. He says that scientists apply an "intelligent filter" when looking at such tests, and that crude comparisons between the outcomes of animal and human studies do not capture this.

But Peter Sandercock, a neurologist at the University of Edinburgh and an author on the study, says the paper shows that more needs to be done on this front. If such a filter was applied, he points out, the animal models of head injury would have been repeated using a better design before human studies started. "This is not a polemic against animal research," stresses Sandercock. "But we need to be aware that there are biases in the animal trials."

Visit our newsblog http://blogs.nature.com/news/blog/2006/12/animal_research.html to read and post comments about this story.

 

Oxford Vivisectionists are Swimming Against the Tide

[ http://www.vero.org.uk/press7.asp ]
Vero. 24 December 2006.
Oxford Vivisectionists are Swimming Against the Tide.
Marius Maxwell


Marius Maxwell

As a neurosurgeon and neuroscientist with two decades of
research experience, I feel qualified to contribute to the
debate on non-human primate vivisection. The arguments of the
Weatherall Committee defy much current scientific evidence,
and have served only to confirm my view that the data
supporting non-human primate vivisection are profoundly
flawed and together with the moral case are indefensible.
I concur with the findings of the crucial Perel study in the
December 15th (2006) issue of the British Medical Journal
(www.bmj.com ), which represents a comprehensive and
quantitative statistical meta-analysis to test the usefulness
of a broad spectrum of animal based drug testing in
predicting human outcomes. This analysis, which undermines
the conclusions of the Weatherall Committee, found that only
three of the six categories actually succeeded in predicting
the results of subsequent human trials and that in all animal
experimentation studied "the quality of the experiments was
poor." No better than the toss of a coin in other words. The
predictive power may actually be even worse, since the study
found evidence of broad publication bias in those experiments
that did predict human outcome. They concluded that
"Discordance between animal and human studies may be due to
bias or to the failure of animal models to mimic clinical
disease adequately."
It is important to bear in mind that these six areas
represent a vast cross section of animal based drug studies
including stroke, head injury, systemic haemorrhage, neonatal
respiratory distress and osteoporosis. A total of 228
published animal studies were scrutinized representing many
thousands of animal test subjects including non-human
primates. This is only the last in a long series of studies
critical of the predictive ability of animal experimentation
to human health care with some yielding predictive
concordance rates as abysmally low as 5 per cent.
The ultimate effect of such imprecise animal-based research
is reflected in tens of thousands of unnecessary human deaths
before the responsible drugs are finally withdrawn. Examples
include: the use of steroids in human head and spinal cord
injury; drugs such as rtPA in stroke treatment; hormone
replacement therapy (HRT); Vioxx; TG1412 at Northwick Park
hospital; amrinone for heart failure; an Alzheimer's vaccine
in 2001; and 80 HIV/Aids vaccines which have have failed in
over 100 clinical trials, despite testing in non-human
primates on a massive scale. The gratuitous use of non-human
primates in much psychological and behavioural laboratory
experimentation does, based on my review, infrequently fall
short of scandalous. Alternative, state of the art
non-animal-based methods of accurately predicting drug safety
include microdosing and in vitro assays, human DNA chips, and
virtual human organs.
The Weatherall Committee stated that research on animals,
including non-human primates, might alleviate "continued
suffering to very large numbers of humans..." But it is now
clear that the use of animals in drug screening is actually
endangering countless human lives. Extensive, unbiased, and
dispassionate meta-analyses of the accuracy and validity of
animal research should be the only yardstick employed in this
debate.
Doctors, pharmacists, and patients groups in the Netherlands
are now demanding government action after a national study
has found that drug related problems caused twice as many
hospital admissions as motor vehicle accidents (www.bmj.com ,
15th December 2006). The December 13th (2006) issue of Nature
(www.nature.com ) also has a timely but troubling review of
animal research and demonstrates that the tide is changing
inexorably against animal vivisection. There is discussion of
the recent (December 2005) Swiss reform of an animal welfare
law to protect the "dignity of creation" of animals. This
rightly has had the effect of progressive denial of funding
for non-human primate research.
Many are fond of claiming the importance of animal research
to early scientific discoveries as if the same historical
models bear any relevance at all to contemporary science.
Obviously animal research in the past century, in the absence
of better alternatives, has benefited mankind as did ancient
studies of human anatomy. Michelangelo's anatomical drawings
and William Harvey's description of human circulation spring
to mind, but who would seriously argue that cadaveric
dissection represents cutting-edge science today?
The field of Parkinson's Disease (PD) research was greatly
stimulated by the therapeutic attempts of neurosurgeons using
dopaminergic brain transplantation in animals and humans
which came to the fore in the 1980's and have since largely
receded. There have been too many false positives to record
here. Many possible false negatives may also have been
ignored as part of widely documented publication bias. The
most common non-human primate model of PD results from
monkeys being poisoned with the neurotoxin MPTP. It is widely
acknowledged that profound disparities (anatomical,
physiological, neurochemical, pathological, and temporal)
exist between the MPTP non-human primate model and humans
with idiopathic PD. Despite these paramount concerns of human
reproducibility, hundreds of studies involving thousands of
animals have followed with conflicting and non-predictive
results. There is no evidence to suggest that their overall
predictive concordance with human PD treatment, if subjected
to the meticulous quantitative analysis of Perel and
co-workers above, would exceed the best case 50:50 coin toss
probability established.
Neurosurgeons have employed precise coordinated stereotactic
techniques in the treatment of PD, with subtle variations in
deep brain nuclear targets, since the 1950's based on human
observation. The technique of deep brain stimulation (DBS)
was discovered through experimentation in patients with PD
(not in animals) in 1987. Though not a cure for PD, it does
ameliorate some of the symptoms and is accompanied by a
troubling incidence of depression, often suicidal. It is
important to understand that ethical clinical research of
actual consenting end stage human PD patients themselves has
been conducted now for decades. Those are precisely the
results that can be accurately translated to other human
sufferers. Although researchers have rushed to duplicate and
extend these studies in the neurotoxin non-human primate
models, I am not persuaded that the nuances in deep brain
nuclear therapeutic identification could not have been more
accurately identified in the very PD patient cohorts which
gave rise to the technique of DBS itself.
As an Oxford graduate I am appalled by the decision of Oxford
University to proceed with the construction of the animal
research laboratory on South Parks Road. They are swimming
against the tide of international medical and ethical
opinion. I fear that history will judge their animal rights
opponents as less extreme than the very scientists who
persist in non-human primate research in the face of an
increasing body of consistent and compelling evidence that
the resulting data has and will continue to endanger
countless human lives.
The spectacle of a minority of Oxford animal researchers
tirelessly promoting their claimed achievements before the
media has caused me deep unease. They have surprisingly gone
on record in backing the use of animals in cosmetic testing
and urging the return to the use of great apes in
experimentation, activities which have been illegal in the UK
for many years. In my experience, the humility and reticence
characteristic of truly eminent scientists reflexively
precludes such behaviour and the protagonists should
understand that because of obvious bias they should be the
very last people to loudly judge the merits of their own
work. The recent BBC2 documentary (Monkeys, Rats and Me, 27th
November, 2006) on non-human primate vivisection was wholly
emotional and lacking in any truly scientific balance or
objectivity. I found the images of severely affected patients
being presented to back their doctor's various therapeutic
assertions to be regrettable. This is not the way to present
a controversial scientific case for critical public
evaluation. Many of my Oxford colleagues in world-class
scientific laboratories, and in the humanities, are privately
aghast at the ability of a small group of media-savvy
vivisectionists to hold the debate hostage and thereby
besmirch the international reputation of their University.
They are unwilling to broadcast their opinions because of the
perceived danger of recrimination by the University and
funding bodies.
The techniques and language of frontier-breaking molecular
genetic technology, for example, are largely unintelligible
to those unschooled in their use and therefore pose hurdles
to inter-disciplinary scientific understanding. This may be
an explanation for why many vivisectionists are not fully
aware of all the applicable developments in other facets of
enquiry into the same disease and seem overly anxious to
declare emphatically and prematurely that no alternatives to
non-human primate research can conceivably exist in the
foreseeable future. You may add to this the natural human
reluctance of animal researchers to turn their back on many
years of endeavour and learn anew contemporary scientific
protocols.
British neurosurgical colleagues of mine have expressed
concerns that the acrimonious debate over non-human primate
vivisection and functional neurosurgery (such as DBS) at
Oxford has begun to detract from and overshadow many other
achievements of their profession. DBS is an important and
successful adjunct to the treatment of PD, is derived from
experimentation on human subjects, and helps less than 1% of
all neurosurgical patients. They are also worried about the
wisdom and balance of allocation of precious financial
resources within the cash-strapped NHS and medical research
sectors.
The 'spin' perpetuated by overly credulous and biased media
reporting that opponents of animal experimentation are
'anti-science Luddites' is hollow. How on earth can an animal
researcher still claim to be pro-science while wilfully
ignoring the vast body of current evidence undermining broad
swathes of animal research? It is extraordinary how many
media reports of the significance of recent studies casting
doubt upon the accuracy and reliability of animal research
are casually undermined by the irrelevant assertion that they
will only serve as grist to the mill for "animal rights
activists." Surely the end-point of the debate should be
human safety. Simply stated, the fact of the matter is that
animal research in general has now been revealed to be dodgy
science which ultimately endangers human lives.
The debate is further muddied by the strident claims of
dubious 'citizens' groups. Their sources of funding should be
scrutinised before their claims of legitimacy can be
believed. This activity is reminiscent of the tactics
employed by tobacco companies to cast doubt and aspersions
upon the vital causal link established between cigarette
smoking and lung cancer by the Oxford epidemiologist Sir
Richard Doll in 1950. By deliberately delaying the societal
recognition of the dangers of smoking for decades, untold
deaths were caused. Parallels with tobacco litigation are
being developed by various plaintiffs' lawyers involved in
class action suits against drug manufacturers and will
demonstrate that the latter have long been aware of the
dangerous imprecision of animal drug testing models to human
outcomes thereby making them liable for much greater damages.
History has a tendency of repeating itself, I thought, as I
recently read the scathing report of the planning inspector
who conducted the public enquiry into Cambridge University's
controversial primate laboratory in 2002. He concluded that
no national need for brain research on primates had been
demonstrated. Cambridge University wisely cancelled the
project. The economic reasons for non-human primate research,
while obvious and most lucrative, are shortsighted and
damaging, and are no more compelling now than they were in
2002. Research and development of more accurate and more
ethical alternatives will easily fill the income shortfall to
the University following a much-needed moratorium on
non-human primate research.
I would urge that the South Parks Road building be made into
a world-class medical imaging and research centre. The
explosion of imaging techniques over the past decade
(functional MRI being but one) has alone obviated the need
for non-human primate vivisection especially in the
neurosciences. Humans can and are being studied in ways that
would have been unimaginable only ten years ago. The eighteen
million pounds for the animal research building could be
better spent by Oxford University with a more inspired,
rational and forward-looking appreciation of the trajectory
of medical research technology.
It is clear to anyone who cares to study the matter closely,
honestly and objectively that the scientific justification
for non-human primate vivisection is unsound. I cannot accept
that its practitioners really believe it to be morally or
ethically defensible either. The argument that supports
non-human primate experimentation because of close kinship to
humans but, blind to their moral worth, denies them ethical
rights, is sinister and repugnant. The resigned and credulous
"Nasty but necessary" defence of non-human primate research
coined by a Guardian Leader (13th December, 2006) is
simplistic, naive, and selectively ignores the mountain of
conflicting scientific data.
Sadly, history reminds us that doctors and scientists have
often been blind to the moral dimensions of their work. It is
instructive to recall that only little more than sixty years
ago, unspeakable and nightmarish forced human vivisection was
performed by the notorious Unit 731 of the Japanese Army
during development of their wartime chemical and biological
weapons programmes (The Guardian, 27th November, 2006).
The general public, a clear majority of whom is opposed to
animal research, deserves to be educated about the dangers of
and protected from adverse drug reactions stemming from weak
and outdated animal research protocols. If scientists as a
group fail to serve society by adequately and transparently
policing the dangers and inconsistencies of their own
research, parliament will have to step in to insist upon a
rigorously objective assessment of all aspects of the drug
safety testing process.
Indeed, the Toxicology Working Group of the House of Lords
Select Committee on Animals in Scientific Procedures in 2002
recommended that "the reliability and relevance of all
existing animal tests should be reviewed as a matter of
urgency."

Following the recent catastrophic Northwick Park clinical
study, 250 MPs (a clear majority of those eligible to do so)
signed Early Day Motion 92: "That this House, in common with
Europeans for Medical Progress, expresses its concerns
regarding the safeguarding of public health through data
obtained from laboratory animals, particularly in light of
large numbers of serious and fatal adverse drug reactions
that were not predicted from animal studies; is concerned
that the Government has not commissioned or evaluated any
formal research on the efficacy of animal experiments, and
has no plans to do so; and, in common with 83 per cent of
general practitioners in a recent survey, calls upon the
Government to facilitate an independent and transparent
scientific evaluation of the use of animals as surrogate
humans in drug safety testing and medical research."
This issue fundamentally turns upon absolute scientific
objectivity, integrity and morality. The controversy will
continue to afflict the University, will not dissipate and
cannot be legislated away. Scientific and non-scientific
anti-vivisectionists alike have every right to be heard and
to occupy the moral high ground of their esteemed Oxford
forebears Johnson, Ruskin and Lewis. The end of non-human
primate experimentation is nigh and I suspect that its few
remaining adherents well know it. The construction of the
South Parks Road animal facility will continue to fester like
a "carbuncle on the face of an old friend" until the
University finally comes to its senses and has it excised.
"I know not by doing any living dissection any discovery
[that] has been made by which a single man is more easily
cured," wrote Samuel Johnson, the eighteenth century Oxford
lexicographer who condemned doctors who "extend the art of
torture" by performing research on animals. Time has finally
proven the good Doctor right.
Marius Maxwell MBBChir, DPhil
mariusmaxwell1@gmail.com


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